IoE.pdf

(1590 KB) Pobierz
Point of View
The Internet of Everything
Dave Evans
How More Relevant and Valuable Connections
Will Change the World
While the Internet is not
a cure-all, it is the one
technology that has the
potential to rectify many of
the challenges we face.
This is the first in a series of three Cisco papers that will describe the impact of
the Internet of Everything on enterprises, individuals, and countries now — and
in the future. Upcoming papers will analyze the “Value at Stake” for enterprises,
driven by the Internet of Everything; and provide an “IoE Value Index” — based on
an exhaustive global study — for evaluating enterprises’ readiness to realize the full
value of the Internet of Everything.
Even with amazing advances in science, medicine, communications, and other
disciplines, maladies like hunger, access to potable water, and diseases are still
with us. As evidence, consider that over the past 50 years, the human population
has nearly tripled, while industrial pollution, unsustainable agriculture, and poor civic
planning have decreased the overall water supply.
1
In addition, fragilities in the global financial system threaten to stall, if not reverse,
years of economic progress. The rising cost of energy is causing instability among
countries, increasing expenses for businesses, and adding to the financial burden of
consumers. And rapid climate change, regardless of the cause, threatens our way of
life by impacting the weather, agriculture, and much more.
While the Internet is not a cure-all, it is the one technology that has the potential
to rectify many of the challenges we face. Already, the Internet, which has
gone through several stages in its relatively short life span,
2
has benefited many
individuals, businesses, and countries by improving education through the
democratization of information, allowing for economic growth through electronic
commerce, and improving business innovation by enabling greater collaboration.
So, what’s next? How will the Internet evolve to continue changing and improving
the world? The purpose of this paper is to address this important question in order
to provide industries, individuals, and countries with the information they need to
begin planning and making strategic decisions for the coming decade.
Page 1
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
 
Internet Business
Solutions Group (IBSG)
Point of View
As these “things” add
capabilities like context
awareness, increased
processing power, and
energy independence,
and as more people and
new types of information
are connected, we will
quickly enter the
Internet
of Everything
(IoE) — a
network of networks where
billions of connections
create unprecedented
opportunities as well as
new risks.
Where Are We Today?
As soon as the Internet was developed, there was a desire to connect more
“things” to it. From the handful of computers that made up the Advanced Research
Projects Agency Network (ARPANET) shown in Figure 1, the Internet now connects
anywhere from 10 billion to 15 billion devices.
3
Even so, less than 1 percent of
things are connected to the Internet today.
4
Figure 1.
ARPANET — The Internet Is Born.
Source: ARPANET Completion Report, January 4, 1978.
In terms of phases or eras, Cisco believes that many organizations are currently
experiencing the Internet of Things (IoT), the networked connection of physical
objects and one of the many technology transitions creating greater value for
organizations that embrace the Internet of Everything (IoE) (see Figure 2). As things
add capabilities like context awareness, increased processing power, and energy
independence, and as more people and new types of information are connected,
IoT becomes an Internet of Everything — a network of networks where billions or
even trillions of connections create unprecedented opportunities as well as new
risks.
5
Page 2
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Point of View
Cisco believes IoE brings
together people, process,
data, and things to make
networked connections
more relevant and valuable
than ever before — turning
information into actions
that create new capabilities,
richer experiences, and
unprecedented economic
opportunity for businesses,
individuals, and countries.
Figure 2.
Internet Growth Is Occurring in Waves.
Source: Cisco IBSG, 2012
The Internet of Everything:
Connecting the Unconnected
Before discussing IoE in more detail, it is important to come to a consensus around
a common definition. Cisco believes IoE brings together people, process, data, and
things to make networked connections more relevant and valuable than ever before
— turning information into actions that create new capabilities, richer experiences,
and unprecedented economic opportunity for businesses, individuals, and countries
(see Figure 3).
To better understand this definition, we must first break down IoE’s individual
components.
• People:
In IoE, people will be able to connect to the Internet in innumerable
ways. Today, most people connect to the Internet through their use of devices
(such as PCs, tablets, TVs, and smartphones) and social networks (such as
Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, and Pinterest). As the Internet evolves toward IoE,
we will be connected in more relevant and valuable ways. For example, in the
future, people will be able to swallow a pill that senses and reports the health of
their digestive tract to a doctor over a secure Internet connection. In addition,
sensors placed on the skin or sewn into clothing will provide information about
a person’s vital signs. According to Gartner, people themselves will become
nodes on the Internet, with both static information and a constantly emitting
activity system.
6
Page 3
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Point of View
Rather than just reporting
raw data, connected things
will soon send higher-
level information back to
machines, computers,
and people for further
evaluation and decision
making. This transformation
from data to information in
IoE is important because
it will allow us to make
faster, more intelligent
decisions, as well as control
our environment more
effectively.
Figure 3.
The What, Where, and How of the Internet of Everything.
Source: Cisco IBSG, 2012
• Data:
With IoT, devices typically gather data and stream it over the Internet to
a central source, where it is analyzed and processed. As the capabilities of
things connected to the Internet continue to advance, they will become more
intelligent by combining data into more useful information. Rather than just
reporting raw data, connected things will soon send higher-level information
back to machines, computers, and people for further evaluation and decision
making. This transformation from data to information in IoE is important because
it will allow us to make faster, more intelligent decisions, as well as control our
environment more effectively.
• Things:
This group is made up of physical items like sensors, consumer
devices, and enterprise assets that are connected to both the Internet and
each other. In IoE, these things will sense more data, become context-aware,
and provide more experiential information to help people and machines make
more relevant and valuable decisions. Examples of “things” in IoE include smart
sensors built into structures like bridges, and disposable sensors that will be
placed on everyday items such as milk cartons.
• Process:
Process plays an important role in how each of these entities
— people, data, and things — works with the others to deliver value in the
connected world of IoE. With the correct process, connections become relevant
and add value because the right information is delivered to the right person at
the right time in the appropriate way.
Page 4
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Point of View
“The 21st century will be
equivalent to 20,000 years
of progress at today’s rate
— about 1,000 times greater
than the 20th century.”
7
Ray Kurzweil,
Futurist, Inventor, Author,
and Entrepreneur
‘Network Effects’:
The Power of Connections and Exponential Growth
With IoE, networks of networks, built upon billions — and someday trillions — of
connections create unprecedented opportunities, as well as new risks. Why?
The answer lies in the exponential power of networks — commonly referred to
as “network effects.” Network effects are often associated with “Metcalfe’s law,”
named after well-known technologist and 3Com founder Robert Metcalfe, which
in its basic form states that the value of a network increases proportionately to the
square of the number of users. Cisco believes the competitive dynamics of the next
decade will fundamentally be shaped by organizations’ efforts to harness network
effects through the new (and deeper) connections afforded by IoE.
In fact, a core construct of IoE in the context of a “connections economy” is that
value will accrue to those who best foster, embody, and exploit network effects.
Much of contemporary management thinking, by contrast, focuses on linear
responses to change. Simply put, humans tend to think in linear terms. Exponential
change, as we see with the advent of the IoE, however, demands that our responses
to change must themselves be exponential. Business and government leaders must
move from being buffeted by chaotic network effects to generating and directing
them to constructive ends.
While competitive dynamics are clearly being transformed, so too are the lives
of individuals. As citizens, consumers, and businesspeople, we all encounter
network effects in our daily lives: the World Wide Web, communicable diseases,
tipping points, the wisdom of crowds, file sharing, social media, user-generated
content, and financial contagion are all manifestations of network effects that have
entered the popular consciousness in recent years. In a manner of speaking, a
simple network effect is generated when participants (or “nodes”) within a network
are connected in a manner makes “the whole greater than the sum of its parts.”
Network effects are at the heart of IoE.
By combining people, process, data, and things, the exponential power of the
Internet will allow us to create exponential responses to the extraordinary challenges
faced by individuals, businesses, and countries.
The Internet of Everything in Action
The true measure of success will be the benefits delivered to humanity by
converging people, process, data, and things. Because IoE will evolve over the
next 10 years, it is important to explore both current and future examples. We also
believe that IoE will impact individuals, businesses, and countries in different ways.
• Individuals:
People experience the world through their senses (hearing, touch,
sight, taste, and smell). In this context, IoE becomes an exponential proxy for
sensing, understanding, and managing our world. With IoE, things that were
silent now have a voice.
Page 5
Cisco IBSG © 2012 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Plik z chomika:

Inne pliki z tego folderu:

Inne foldery tego chomika:

Zgłoś jeśli naruszono regulamin